Monday, August 25, 2008

USD Slumps as Oil Spikes by Korman Tam

The dollar tumbled across the board in the Thursday session on the heels of a rally in oil, which jumped to its highest level in 2 ½-weeks to $121.94 per barrel. The spike higher in crude prices was prompted by a combination of heightened geopolitical uncertainty stemming from Russia's decision to halt cooperation with NATO and warnings that Saudi Arabia may scale back its recent increase in production amid declining prices. The move higher in oil sent the greenback lower, falling near the 1.49-level against the euro and 108.10 versus the yen.

The US economic reports released today saw improvements in both weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey. Weekly jobless claims improved to 432k, down from 450k a week earlier. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey was better than expected at -12.7 in August, versus calls for an improvement to -14.0 from -16.3 in the previous month. The July leading indicators deteriorated to -0.7%, compared with -0.1% from June.

Traders will look ahead to tomorrow's speech by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke slated for 10:00 AM. His speech will be closely scrutinized for hints on future policy moves and any indications of support for troubled Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

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